Tuesday 31 May 2016

To Brexit or not to Brexit - that is the question

Possibly one of the most important voting decisions that I have ever had to make and there is precious little in the way of hard and reliable facts to base a decision on.




1. How can you believe a word David Cameron says on this matter.

i) Cameron has put the country in this position apparently against his political judgement, but in order to stave off the UKIP threat at the last general election. Why should we believe anything that a Prime Minister says when he has quite openly put his personal ambition ahead of the good of the nation.

ii) Since Cameron's ill-advised announcement that he will not fight another election, the Tory party has decided against leading the country (see very poor Queen's speech lacking any real ambition) and has instead concentrated on Brexit which is actually the Tory Leadership election by proxy. Will it be Boris or George, one things for sure Cameron is on a slippery slope, and already appears to be seeing his authority slipping away.

iii) Cameron will do whatever is best for those he represents ad that is not the 99%.

iv) Operation Fear, speculation about mass loss of jobs, loss of trading opportunity, impending European civil war, terror threat rising etc. are quite obviously bogus.

v) While Cameron has plenty to say on what MIGHT happen if we BREXIT, he has very little to say (as does the BOE) on what will happen if we stay. There are as many unknowns about staying as leaving.

vi) A vote to Brexit could well signal the start of the break up of the UK, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland are generally for staying in the UK.

vii) A vote to stay in Europe could signal the break up of the Tory party and the end of Cameron as party leader.


2. Should we believe the BOE / IMF / European Bank

 i) If there is Brexit, the European Project and IMF fear this more than anything else, because it will weaken the Euro far more than the pound. Brexit could be the start and map a path for Greece, Cyprus, Spain etc. to follow. Do you really think their press releases and opinions are  independent - no of course not - they will wish to influence the outcome to suit their needs best - not the needs of the British public.

ii) Should we listen to big business - not of course not - they will wish to influence the outcome to suit their needs best - not the needs of the British public. If Starbucks leaves the UK does it effect me - not a jot, and if folk want to drink coffee maybe  British independents will get a chance to flourish and pay tax.

iii) Should we listen to those who have a vested interest in the London property market continuing to grow. Of course not, and why can't the government sort this our for the benefit of the British public ?

iv) And can somebody please explain how one interest rate works for a variety of different economies all at different stages. Well. it has been proven not to work in the past, I can't see that changing the future, and the European Project will demand at some stage that we adopt the Euro  regardless of the effect that will have on our economy.


3. Should we believe Farage

i) Well he is speculating about the future as much as anybody else is.

The truth is we don't know what will happen and threats and ultimatums made before the decisions will all be  re-assessed in light of the decisions regardless of which way it goes.



Summary

i) There is not enough reliable information from politicians to make a rational and logical decision.

ii) This is ultimately about sovereignty, Do we wish to remain a sovereign  nation or become part of the European superstate.

iii) Don't decide your vote based on a 'better the devil we know' basis, as the devil is likely to change, and don't base your vote on being scared of change and the unknown, if we had always done that nobody would have invented the wheel.

How am I going to vote..... to be honest I haven't made up my mind yet, but part of me would just like to see the smile wiped off Cameron's smug face, but I need to be a bit more grown up than that.

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